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Virtual-cell models compress unseen intervention geometry through a target-specific generalization bottleneck

Preprint Created on 24 Aug 2026 bioRxiv

Predictive models of cellular perturbation are often judged by how closely they reconstruct molecular states after unseen interventions. We show that high state-level similarity can coexist with loss of the relationships that distinguish perturbations, a failure we term Intervention Geometry Compression (IGC). Across established models and perturbation settings, unseen interventions show weakened global and local geometry, reduced between-intervention variance and spectral collapse. The failure is not primarily explained by response-space capacity. Instead, diagnostic projections localize much of the missing geometry to a small number of residual response directions learned from seen interventions; these directions outperform complexity-matched random subspaces and replicate in an independent Jiang perturbation resource. Polarity captures part, but not all, of this continuous orientation signal. Time-resolved analyses further show that correct trajectory entry markedly improves downstream propagation, while a held target's own early empirical response rapidly reveals endpoint orientation. Finally, same-target empirical anchoring transfers intervention identity across contexts far more effectively than increasing exposure to other interventions. These results identify intervention-coordinate assignment as an information bottleneck in virtual-cell generalization and support a design principle: empirically anchor intervention identity, then use models to generalize anchored effects across cellular contexts.

Huang, Y., Wang, H., Wilson, P. C.

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