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Weak evidence for change in wind-induced bending moments on raised and thinned Colorado spruce (Picea pungens)

Preprint Created on 16 Jun 2026 bioRxiv

Trees are routinely pruned to mitigate the risk of wind damage, but there are few studies examining changes in wind loads after pruning, especially for large conifers. In this study, ten Colorado spruces (Picea pungens) were monitored before and after a series of pruning treatments. Trees were pruned to raise or thin crowns over a range of severities between 0% and 40%. Wind-induced bending moments were measured using two calibrated displacement probes installed orthogonally on the lower stem of each tree. Using a hierarchical Bayesian model, the relationship between maximum wind speeds and bending moments was quantified, consistent with theoretical and empirical expectations, as a non-linear power law. Random intercepts for model coefficients were used to account for individual variability in aerodynamic behavior among experimental trees, and predictions were made using the median response marginalized over the observed trees. The modeled relationship between wind speeds and bending moments was physically reasonable and like existing measurements with scaling exponents below two. Despite considerable variation among experimental trees, the aerodynamic behavior of trees, as indicated by model coefficients, was not clearly altered by pruning treatments, and, correspondingly, model predictions of bending moments over the range of observed wind speeds remained similar for all pruning treatments. Ultimately, the study yielded weak evidence for a change in bending moments following conventional pruning treatments for Colorado spruce, and the practical value of pruning to mitigate risk appeared limited for the studied conditions.

Leinbach, D., Burcham, D. C., Kane, B.

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