Mortality-inducing disturbances are important, ubiquitous drivers of community composition and function. Importantly, human activities and climate change are increasingly altering disturbance regimes. Most disturbance studies focus on the effects of current disturbance regimes, rarely considering those of historical regimes. However, recent theoretical work predicts that historical regimes can leave persistent legacies, modulating the community's response to novel disturbances and invasive species. Here, we complement this theoretical approach using a model bacterial system that experienced disturbance regimes for ~120 generations, followed by novel regimes and invasions for another ~120 generations. Our results show persistent effects of historical legacies on disturbance-diversity relationships. Furthermore, some combinations of past and novel regimes promote invasion with increasing resident diversity, while others prevent it; legacies may explain conflicting diversity-invasibility relationships. These findings demonstrate the importance of historical legacies in disturbance-prone ecosystems, and underscore the challenges in predicting future community responses to disturbance regime changes.
Inamine, H., Lear, L., Miller, A., Roxburgh, S., Buckling, A., Shea, K.
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