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Governance scale and network structure shape pollinator recovery under pesticide reduction

Preprint Created on 30 May 2026 bioRxiv

Reducing pesticide risks while maintaining food production remains a central challenge for sustainable agriculture. Although pesticide reduction is pursued through centralized regulation and farm-level Integrated Pest Management, how these governance pathways translate into pollinator recovery in agroecological systems remains poorly understood. Existing ecological network models often treat pesticide pressure asm external forcing and management actions as fixed parameters, limiting their ability to capture feedbacks among governance decisions, network structure, and population dynamics. Here, we develop a dynamical framework that embeds pesticide management within tripartite pollinator-plant-pest networks using a policy variable and a farm-level adoption variable. Across empirical and synthetic networks, we show that recovery is not determined by pesticide reduction alone, but by how management acts through ecological interaction structure. More modular networks require stronger intervention, and pollinators with similar degrees show different recovery outcomes, indicating that degree alone does not determine recovery potential. Further, increasing policy strength generally expands the persistence domain more than increasing farmer adoption alone. These results show that pesticide reduction does not automatically yield ecological recovery, and effective strategies must match governance scale to ecological condition and network structure.

Datta, A., Ray, A., Bhatia, U.

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