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Population-specific drivers of reproductive phenology in a widespread large carnivore, the gray wolf

Preprint Created on 27 May 2026 bioRxiv

Animals often rely on cues from the environment to time reproduction with optimal conditions. However, for most species, which environmental cues are used and how their use varies across a species' distribution remains poorly understood. The gray wolf (Canis lupus) is found across a broad latitudinal range (12N to 83N) and diverse natural habitats, making them an ideal study species to explore these questions. Using 1,261 estimated birth dates of wild and captive wolves across their global range, we investigated how environmental variables influence reproductive phenology in this widespread large carnivore. Birth dates for wild wolves ranged from November 22nd for Indian wolves (18N) to June 15th for Arctic wolves (80N). The best predictor of timing of birth was increasing daylength during the mating season, followed by precipitation variability during the year. The timing of birth in captive wolves was highly similar to wild wolves at same latitudes, suggesting they use similar environmental cues to time reproduction. Near the equator where photoperiod is more stable, wolves remained seasonal and likely use climatic cues to time reproduction. Our work reveals populations may use different environmental cues to time reproduction, a characteristic that likely facilitates adaptation to diverse environments.

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